Monthly Intelligence Report April 2025

This month’s issue of the Monthly Intelligence Report covers incidents that took place between March 1 - 31, 2025, in three focus regions:

• West Africa

• Western Indian Ocean (including the Persian Gulf)

• South East Asia

Focus topic: Disruption to maritime paradigms

Since Donald Trump's inauguration in January, the US has already launched trade wars against traditional partners (Canada, Mexico, the EU), foreshadowed territorial acquisition (Greenland), and cast doubt on established alliances (NATO in particular). Simmering conflicts around the globe may escalate into crises – and cause business interruption, particularly for shipping. Comprehensive threat and risk assessments will therefore be even more important in the near future. In addition, companies should improve or update their contingency planning, taking into account relevant scenarios and whether current maritime security paradigms will indeed be disrupted.

In addition, the report provides a brief update on the maritime implications of the war in Ukraine.

This month's risk and threat assessment

In the report's assessment, the main incidents are put into a broader context to highlight current threat levels and potential changes for maritime operations. Moreover, the report includes forecasts that cover the main concerns in the coming weeks.